[URL="http://www.sbrforum.com/Betting+Articles/NFL/15030/nfl-betting-preview-redskins-dogs-rule-preseason.aspx"]NFL Betting Preview: Redskins, dogs to rule preseason[/URL]
Thursday, August 5, 2010 08:03 AM ET
By: LT Profits Sports Group | [url]www.sbrforum.com[/url]

[B]NFL preseason can be a gold mine for sharps, as great and obvious betting opportunities arise weekly. Underdogs are usually good bets and keep an eye on the Redskins.[/B]

Our favorite time of the year has arrived, as the 2010 NFL Preseason gets underway with the Hall of Fame Game between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Dallas Cowboys Sunday night.

Many expert and novice bettors alike scoff at the very idea of betting preseason games, but we have hit over 60 percent winners...

[URL="http://www.sbrforum.com/Betting+Articles/MLB/14578/mlb-betting-knowing-your-umpires-leads-profits.aspx"]MLB Betting: Knowing your umpires leads to profits[/URL]
Thursday, June 24, 2010 10:32 AM ET
By: LT Profits Sports Group

[B]Umpires are virtually ignored when setting the betting lines in baseball, so knowing the tendencies of the umps can give you an added edge in attempting to win betting baseball long term. Get to know which umpires have tight strike zones, as games when they work the plate tend to go ‘over’. Conversely, wider strike zones usually means fewer runs and more ‘unders’, and there are also umps that are ‘homers.’[/B]

Being a long term winner in baseball is never easy, and any edge...

[B]Former Bullet Manute Bol dies at 47[/B]

Manute Bol, who became a basketball sensation in the 1980s as a skeletally thin shot-blocking giant with the Washington Bullets and other professional teams, and who devoted his post-basketball life to improving the lot of his fellow natives of Sudan, died June 19 at the University of Virginia Medical Center in Charlottesville. He was 47.

His cousin George Bol said Mr. Bol had internal bleeding and other complications from Stevens-Johnson Syndrome, a rare skin disease that he contracted from a medication he received in Africa.

Mr. Bol, one of the two tallest players in NBA history,...

[SIZE=4][B][COLOR=Green]NFL Draft 2010 Contest
[/COLOR] [/B][/SIZE]
[LIST]
[*]We are having an NFL 2010 Draft Contest for the First Round of the draft only, which takes place TONIGHT at 7:27 PM ET on NFL Network.
[*]Participants must pick all 32 players drafted in First Round. Draft Position and Players must be exactly correct to be awarded any point(s). In case of trades, the teams making the picks do not matter, points will be awarded based on players taken only.
[/LIST]
[COLOR=SeaGreen][B][COLOR=Green]Points per round system[/COLOR]
[/B][/COLOR]
[LIST]
[*]1 Point per each exactly correct pick between 1-8.
[*]2 Points per each exactly correct pick between 9-16.
[*]3 Points per each exactly correct pick between...[/*][/*][/LIST][/*][/*][/*]

Now these stats have nothing to do with my selections, I am merely presenting them as a counterpoint for those that like the fact that the higher seeded teams are all well rested this week:

[B]Courtesy of walterfootball.com[/B]

[I]Playoff teams coming off byes are 7-17 ATS since 2003 (4-12 since 2005)

For teams like the Saints and Colts that rested their regulars in Week 17, the following teams rested their starters in Week 17 before a playoff game. This chart, which goes back to 2002, when the divisions re-aligned, shows how each squad performed in its initial postseason contest. The asterisks denote teams...[/I]

I did my best to reproduce Ganchrow's old Push Frequency Tables. Let me know if something looks out of whack.

Spr No. Std. Err. Freq
0 699 0.00% 0.00%
1 2,213 0.33% 2.44%
2 2,703 0.27% 2.07%
3 2,954 0.54% 9.38%
4 3,019 0.32% 3.28%
5 3,207 0.22% 1.59%
6 2,160 0.39% 3.38%
7 1,918 0.51% 5.16%
8 1,845 0.33% 2.06%
9 1,447 0.27% 1.04%
10 917 0.71% 4.80%
11 793 0.54% 2.40%
12 610 0.33% 0.66%
13 397 0.66% 1.76%
14 311 1.18% 4.50%
15 258 0.77% 1.55%
16 146 1.35% 2.74%
17 84 2.58% 5.95%
18 57 1.74% 1.75%


Tot No. Std. Err. Freq
29 22 0.00% 0.00%
30 64 3.03% 6.25%
31 145 0.97% 1.38%
32 334 0.52% 0.90%
33 565 0.80% 3.72%
34 860 0.57% 2.91%
35 1,327 0.37% 1.88%
36 1,766 0.33% 1.93%
37 1,921 0.48% 4.58%
38 2,113 0.35% 2.70%
39 2,190 0.26% 1.51%
40 2,046 0.33% 2.35%
41 1,978 0.43% 3.89%
42 1,957 0.27% 1.43%
43 1,814 0.38% 2.65%
44 1,532 0.45% 3.13%
45 1,312 0.51% 3.58%
46 1,086 0.42% 1.93%
47 757 0.73% 4.23%
48 548 0.67% 2.55%
49 366 0.61% 1.37%
50 223 1.25% 3.59%
51 137 1.44% 2.92%


? All NFL regular season final scores and closing points spreads (from Covers) from the 1985/86 season through the 2007/08 season were analyzed (5,647...

Teams that are 0-4 straight up have gone 20-5 ATS in Week 5 since 2000. Makes sense since nobody wants to bet on these teams, making them undervalued. So let's take a look at 0-4 teams this week:

Browns +6 at Buffalo - This has a shot, although my confidence level is low. The offense looked better with Anderson at QB, but the Browns then turn around and trade Edwards. They say when in doubt, take, but for just a small pop here.

Chiefs +9 vs. Cowboys - Yes KC is 0-4, but Dallas is on a bye next week, fitting them...

Week 4 of the NFL Preseason runs from Thursday, September 3 through Monday, September 7, and we will be having winner-take-all Pick-5 Sides Only contest.

The winner will receive a $100 account at Bookmaker, with a 4 time roll-over.

*IMPORTANT*
All players must message their Bookmaker account to SBRforum Staff prior to making selections. If you do not have an account you must SIGN UP Here.
Note: If you do not have PM privileges, you must email your account info to [email]lou@sbrnewsdesk.com[/email]

You must pick EXACTLY 5 games from the Lines posted by LT Profits below. The lines will not change...

Congrats to our August winner Junkyard Dog, as well as to keyboarding, smitch124 and mcbaseball for claiming the second, third and last place prizes respectively.

Now, hopefully, I will never have to grade these contests again. :lmao:

Starting Monday, August 3, 2009, we will start an August Baseball Pick-3 Contest, which will run until Monday, August 31. All prizes will be in the form of an account at 5 Dimes, and all prizes require a 4 time roll-over before withdrawals can be made. The prize distribution is as follows:

First Place: $150
Second Place: $50
Third Place: $25
Last Place Boobie Prize: $25

*IMPORTANT*
All players must have an account at 5 Dimes in order to be prize eligible for this contest. SIGN UP Here.

Players must PM their 5 Dimes account ID to SBRforum Staff NO LATER THAN 8:00 PM...