6/16/2011 2:20:00 AM by LT Profits
[B]All stats are 2011 YTD though the games of June 14, 2011[/B]
[code] TEAM GP R H E RPG HPG EPG RHE Boston 66 350 640 31 5.30 9.70 0.47 15.47 St. Louis 68 330 638 41 4.85 9.38 0.60 14.84 NY Yankees 65 342 567 40 5.26 8.72 0.62 14.60 Toronto 67 323 605 44 4.82 9.03 0.66 14.51 Cincinnati 69 338 627 34 4.90 9.09 0.49 14.48 Texas 68 317 608 52 4.66 8.94 0.76 14.37 Kansas City 67 304 613 42 4.54 9.15 0.63 14.31 Detroit 67 300 597 42 4.48 8.91 0.63 14.01 Chicago Cubs 66 264 604 56 4.00 9.15 0.85 14.00 Arizona 68 321 586 43 4.72 8.62 0.63 13.97 Houston 68 270 609 54 3.97 8.96 0.79 13.72 Baltimore 64 263 560 43 4.11 8.75 0.67 13.53 Chicago Sox 68 289 594 35 4.25 8.74 0.51 13.50 NY Mets 67 280 584 34 4.18 8.72 0.51 13.40 Cleveland 65 284 547 40 4.37 8.42 0.62 13.40 Colorado 67 293 569 35 4.37 8.49 0.52 13.39 Milwaukee 68 291 580 36 4.28 8.53 0.53 13.34 LA Dodgers 69 269 606 34 3.90 8.78 0.49 13.17 Florida 66 265 567 37 4.02 8.59 0.56 13.17 Philadelphia 67 276 566 32 4.12 8.45 0.48 13.04 LA Angels 69 258 605 35 3.74 8.77 0.51 13.01 Tampa Bay 67 277 554 32 4.13 8.27 0.48 12.88 Minnesota 65 246 545 45 3.78 8.38 0.69 12.86 Atlanta 68 264 560 35 3.88 8.24 0.51 12.63 Oakland ...[/code]
6/16/2011 2:10:00 AM by LT Profits
This can be referred to for First 5-inning bets and for Will there be runs scored in 1st inning bets, and also indirectly for who will score first.
[B]All stats are 2011 YTD through gamed of June 14, 2011[/B]
[B]OVERALL[/B]
[code]
Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th First 5
NY Yankees 0.77 0.74 0.58 0.48 0.86 3.43
Boston 0.55 0.59 0.79 0.45 0.58 2.96
Texas 0.49 0.54 0.79 0.47 0.63 2.92
Toronto 0.70 0.21 0.51 0.87 0.51 2.80
Cincinnati 0.46 0.41 0.41 0.78 0.62 2.68
Detroit 0.57 0.33 0.46 0.75 0.52 2.63
St. Louis 0.51 0.41 0.49 0.68 0.49 2.58
Milwaukee 0.60 0.24 0.79 0.50 0.44 2.57
Kansas City 0.36 0.57 0.46 0.78 0.40 2.57
Colorado 0.60 0.48 0.40 0.52 0.55 2.55
NY Mets 0.58 0.42 0.46 0.61 0.46 2.53
Arizona 0.50 0.38 0.56 0.56 0.51 2.51
Florida ...[/code]
8/5/2010 12:33:37 PM by LT Profits
[URL="http://www.sbrforum.com/Betting+Articles/NFL/15030/nfl-betting-preview-redskins-dogs-rule-preseason.aspx"]NFL Betting Preview: Redskins, dogs to rule preseason[/URL] Thursday, August 5, 2010 08:03 AM ET By: LT Profits Sports Group | [url]www.sbrforum.com[/url]
[B]NFL preseason can be a gold mine for sharps, as great and obvious betting opportunities arise weekly. Underdogs are usually good bets and keep an eye on the Redskins.[/B]
Our favorite time of the year has arrived, as the 2010 NFL Preseason gets underway with the Hall of Fame Game between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Dallas Cowboys Sunday night.
Many expert and novice bettors alike scoff at the very idea of betting preseason games, but we have hit over 60 percent winners...
6/24/2010 2:43:46 PM by LT Profits
[URL="http://www.sbrforum.com/Betting+Articles/MLB/14578/mlb-betting-knowing-your-umpires-leads-profits.aspx"]MLB Betting: Knowing your umpires leads to profits[/URL] Thursday, June 24, 2010 10:32 AM ET By: LT Profits Sports Group
[B]Umpires are virtually ignored when setting the betting lines in baseball, so knowing the tendencies of the umps can give you an added edge in attempting to win betting baseball long term. Get to know which umpires have tight strike zones, as games when they work the plate tend to go ‘over’. Conversely, wider strike zones usually means fewer runs and more ‘unders’, and there are also umps that are ‘homers.’[/B]
Being a long term winner in baseball is never easy, and any edge...
6/19/2010 7:18:47 PM by LT Profits
[B]Former Bullet Manute Bol dies at 47[/B]
Manute Bol, who became a basketball sensation in the 1980s as a skeletally thin shot-blocking giant with the Washington Bullets and other professional teams, and who devoted his post-basketball life to improving the lot of his fellow natives of Sudan, died June 19 at the University of Virginia Medical Center in Charlottesville. He was 47.
His cousin George Bol said Mr. Bol had internal bleeding and other complications from Stevens-Johnson Syndrome, a rare skin disease that he contracted from a medication he received in Africa.
Mr. Bol, one of the two tallest players in NBA history,...
4/22/2010 5:04:15 PM by LT Profits
[SIZE=4][B][COLOR=Green]NFL Draft 2010 Contest [/COLOR] [/B][/SIZE] [LIST] [*]We are having an NFL 2010 Draft Contest for the First Round of the draft only, which takes place TONIGHT at 7:27 PM ET on NFL Network. [*]Participants must pick all 32 players drafted in First Round. Draft Position and Players must be exactly correct to be awarded any point(s). In case of trades, the teams making the picks do not matter, points will be awarded based on players taken only. [/LIST] [COLOR=SeaGreen][B][COLOR=Green]Points per round system[/COLOR] [/B][/COLOR] [LIST] [*]1 Point per each exactly correct pick between 1-8. [*]2 Points per each exactly correct pick between 9-16. [*]3 Points per each exactly correct pick between...[/*][/*][/LIST][/*][/*][/*]
1/15/2010 3:40:01 PM by LT Profits
Now these stats have nothing to do with my selections, I am merely presenting them as a counterpoint for those that like the fact that the higher seeded teams are all well rested this week:
[B]Courtesy of walterfootball.com[/B]
[I]Playoff teams coming off byes are 7-17 ATS since 2003 (4-12 since 2005)
For teams like the Saints and Colts that rested their regulars in Week 17, the following teams rested their starters in Week 17 before a playoff game. This chart, which goes back to 2002, when the divisions re-aligned, shows how each squad performed in its initial postseason contest. The asterisks denote teams...[/I]
1/12/2010 7:30:01 PM by LT Profits
I did my best to reproduce Ganchrow's old Push Frequency Tables. Let me know if something looks out of whack.
Spr No. Std. Err. Freq
0 699 0.00% 0.00%
1 2,213 0.33% 2.44%
2 2,703 0.27% 2.07%
3 2,954 0.54% 9.38%
4 3,019 0.32% 3.28%
5 3,207 0.22% 1.59%
6 2,160 0.39% 3.38%
7 1,918 0.51% 5.16%
8 1,845 0.33% 2.06%
9 1,447 0.27% 1.04%
10 917 0.71% 4.80%
11 793 0.54% 2.40%
12 610 0.33% 0.66%
13 397 0.66% 1.76%
14 311 1.18% 4.50%
15 258 0.77% 1.55%
16 146 1.35% 2.74%
17 84 2.58% 5.95%
18 57 1.74% 1.75%
Tot No. Std. Err. Freq
29 22 0.00% 0.00%
30 64 3.03% 6.25%
31 145 0.97% 1.38%
32 334 0.52% 0.90%
33 565 0.80% 3.72%
34 860 0.57% 2.91%
35 1,327 0.37% 1.88%
36 1,766 0.33% 1.93%
37 1,921 0.48% 4.58%
38 2,113 0.35% 2.70%
39 2,190 0.26% 1.51%
40 2,046 0.33% 2.35%
41 1,978 0.43% 3.89%
42 1,957 0.27% 1.43%
43 1,814 0.38% 2.65%
44 1,532 0.45% 3.13%
45 1,312 0.51% 3.58%
46 1,086 0.42% 1.93%
47 757 0.73% 4.23%
48 548 0.67% 2.55%
49 366 0.61% 1.37%
50 223 1.25% 3.59%
51 137 1.44% 2.92%
? All NFL regular season final scores and closing points spreads (from Covers) from the 1985/86 season through the 2007/08 season were analyzed (5,647...
10/8/2009 8:24:58 AM by LT Profits
Teams that are 0-4 straight up have gone 20-5 ATS in Week 5 since 2000. Makes sense since nobody wants to bet on these teams, making them undervalued. So let's take a look at 0-4 teams this week:
Browns +6 at Buffalo - This has a shot, although my confidence level is low. The offense looked better with Anderson at QB, but the Browns then turn around and trade Edwards. They say when in doubt, take, but for just a small pop here.
Chiefs +9 vs. Cowboys - Yes KC is 0-4, but Dallas is on a bye next week, fitting them...
9/1/2009 4:10:01 PM by LT Profits
Week 4 of the NFL Preseason runs from Thursday, September 3 through Monday, September 7, and we will be having winner-take-all Pick-5 Sides Only contest.
The winner will receive a $100 account at Bookmaker, with a 4 time roll-over.
*IMPORTANT*
All players must message their Bookmaker account to SBRforum Staff prior to making selections. If you do not have an account you must SIGN UP Here.
Note: If you do not have PM privileges, you must email your account info to [email]lou@sbrnewsdesk.com[/email]
You must pick EXACTLY 5 games from the Lines posted by LT Profits below. The lines will not change...
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