Now these stats have nothing to do with my selections, I am merely presenting them as a counterpoint for those that like the fact that the higher seeded teams are all well rested this week:

[B]Courtesy of walterfootball.com[/B]

[I]Playoff teams coming off byes are 7-17 ATS since 2003 (4-12 since 2005)

For teams like the Saints and Colts that rested their regulars in Week 17, the following teams rested their starters in Week 17 before a playoff game. This chart, which goes back to 2002, when the divisions re-aligned, shows how each squad performed in its initial postseason contest. The asterisks denote teams...[/I]

I did my best to reproduce Ganchrow's old Push Frequency Tables. Let me know if something looks out of whack.

Spr No. Std. Err. Freq
0 699 0.00% 0.00%
1 2,213 0.33% 2.44%
2 2,703 0.27% 2.07%
3 2,954 0.54% 9.38%
4 3,019 0.32% 3.28%
5 3,207 0.22% 1.59%
6 2,160 0.39% 3.38%
7 1,918 0.51% 5.16%
8 1,845 0.33% 2.06%
9 1,447 0.27% 1.04%
10 917 0.71% 4.80%
11 793 0.54% 2.40%
12 610 0.33% 0.66%
13 397 0.66% 1.76%
14 311 1.18% 4.50%
15 258 0.77% 1.55%
16 146 1.35% 2.74%
17 84 2.58% 5.95%
18 57 1.74% 1.75%


Tot No. Std. Err. Freq
29 22 0.00% 0.00%
30 64 3.03% 6.25%
31 145 0.97% 1.38%
32 334 0.52% 0.90%
33 565 0.80% 3.72%
34 860 0.57% 2.91%
35 1,327 0.37% 1.88%
36 1,766 0.33% 1.93%
37 1,921 0.48% 4.58%
38 2,113 0.35% 2.70%
39 2,190 0.26% 1.51%
40 2,046 0.33% 2.35%
41 1,978 0.43% 3.89%
42 1,957 0.27% 1.43%
43 1,814 0.38% 2.65%
44 1,532 0.45% 3.13%
45 1,312 0.51% 3.58%
46 1,086 0.42% 1.93%
47 757 0.73% 4.23%
48 548 0.67% 2.55%
49 366 0.61% 1.37%
50 223 1.25% 3.59%
51 137 1.44% 2.92%


? All NFL regular season final scores and closing points spreads (from Covers) from the 1985/86 season through the 2007/08 season were analyzed (5,647...

Teams that are 0-4 straight up have gone 20-5 ATS in Week 5 since 2000. Makes sense since nobody wants to bet on these teams, making them undervalued. So let's take a look at 0-4 teams this week:

Browns +6 at Buffalo - This has a shot, although my confidence level is low. The offense looked better with Anderson at QB, but the Browns then turn around and trade Edwards. They say when in doubt, take, but for just a small pop here.

Chiefs +9 vs. Cowboys - Yes KC is 0-4, but Dallas is on a bye next week, fitting them...

Week 4 of the NFL Preseason runs from Thursday, September 3 through Monday, September 7, and we will be having winner-take-all Pick-5 Sides Only contest.

The winner will receive a $100 account at Bookmaker, with a 4 time roll-over.

*IMPORTANT*
All players must message their Bookmaker account to SBRforum Staff prior to making selections. If you do not have an account you must SIGN UP Here.
Note: If you do not have PM privileges, you must email your account info to [email]lou@sbrnewsdesk.com[/email]

You must pick EXACTLY 5 games from the Lines posted by LT Profits below. The lines will not change...

Congrats to our August winner Junkyard Dog, as well as to keyboarding, smitch124 and mcbaseball for claiming the second, third and last place prizes respectively.

Now, hopefully, I will never have to grade these contests again. :lmao:

Starting Monday, August 3, 2009, we will start an August Baseball Pick-3 Contest, which will run until Monday, August 31. All prizes will be in the form of an account at 5 Dimes, and all prizes require a 4 time roll-over before withdrawals can be made. The prize distribution is as follows:

First Place: $150
Second Place: $50
Third Place: $25
Last Place Boobie Prize: $25

*IMPORTANT*
All players must have an account at 5 Dimes in order to be prize eligible for this contest. SIGN UP Here.

Players must PM their 5 Dimes account ID to SBRforum Staff NO LATER THAN 8:00 PM...

Starting Tuesday, September 1, 2009, we will start a September Baseball Pick-3 Contest, which will run until Wednesday, September 30. All prizes will be in the form of an account at BetPhoenix, and all prizes require a 4 time roll-over before withdrawals can be made. The prize distribution is as follows:

First Place: $175
Second Place: $50
Third Place: $25

We have eliminated the last-place prize, and the link to the contest is http://www.sbrpicks.com/contest/156/

*IMPORTANT*
All players must have an account at BetPhoenix in order to be prize eligible for this contest. SIGN UP Here.

Players will be prompted to enter their VALID account...

Starting Monday, August 3, 2009, we will start an August Baseball Pick-3 Contest, which will run until Monday, August 31. All prizes will be in the form of an account at 5 Dimes, and all prizes require a 4 time roll-over before withdrawals can be made. The prize distribution is as follows:

First Place: $150
Second Place: $50
Third Place: $25
Last Place Boobie Prize: $25

*IMPORTANT*
All players must have an account at 5 Dimes in order to be prize eligible for this contest. SIGN UP Here.

Players must PM their 5 Dimes account ID to SBRforum Staff NO LATER THAN 8:00 PM...

Starting Monday, August 3, 2009, we will start an August Baseball Pick-3 Contest, which will run until Monday, August 31. All prizes will be in the form of an account at 5 Dimes, and all prizes require a 4 time roll-over before withdrawals can be made. The prize distribution is as follows:

First Place: $150
Second Place: $50
Third Place: $25
Last Place Boobie Prize: $25

*IMPORTANT*
All players must have an account at 5 Dimes in order to be prize eligible for this contest. SIGN UP Here.

Players must PM their 5 Dimes account ID to SBRforum Staff NO LATER THAN 8:00 PM...

Starting Monday, August 3, 2009, we will start an August Baseball Pick-3 Contest, which will run until Monday, August 31. All prizes will be in the form of an account at 5 Dimes, and all prizes require a 4 time roll-over before withdrawals can be made. The prize distribution is as follows:

First Place: $150
Second Place: $50
Third Place: $25
Last Place Boobie Prize: $25

*IMPORTANT*
All players must have an account at 5 Dimes" target="_blank">5 Dimes in order to be prize eligible for this contest. SIGN UP Here" target="_blank">SIGN UP Here.

Players must PM their 5 Dimes account ID to SBRforum Staff" target="_blank">SBRforum Staff NO LATER THAN 8:00 PM...